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"WHO Director-General at the media briefing - 12 October 2020" Topic


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Martin From Canada13 Oct 2020 10:40 p.m. PST

The WHO's Director General's remarks yesterday to the WHO media briefing yesterday. I've bolded the relevant section with regards to the dangers of herd immunity.

link

  • Around the world, we're now seeing an increase in the number of reported cases of COVID-19, especially in Europe and the Americas.
  • There has been some discussion recently about the concept of reaching so-called "herd immunity" by letting the virus spread.
  • Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic.
  • WHO is hopeful that countries will use targeted interventions where and when needed, based on the local situation. We well understand the frustration that many people, communities and governments are feeling as the pandemic drags on, and as cases rise again.
  • There are no shortcuts, and no silver bullets. The answer is a comprehensive approach, using every tool in the toolbox.

Good morning, good afternoon and good evening.

Around the world, we're now seeing an increase in the number of reported cases of COVID-19, especially in Europe and the Americas.

Each of the last four days has been the highest number of cases reported so far.

Many cities and countries are also reporting an increase in hospitalizations and intensive care bed occupancy.

At the same time, we must remember that this is an uneven pandemic.

Countries have responded differently, and countries have been affected differently.

Almost 70% of all cases reported globally last week were from 10 countries, and almost half of all cases were from just three countries.

For every country that is experiencing an increase, there are many others that have successfully prevented or controlled widespread transmission with proven measures.

Those measures continue to be our best defence against COVID-19.

There has been some discussion recently about the concept of reaching so-called "herd immunity" by letting the virus spread.

Herd immunity is a concept used for vaccination, in which a population can be protected from a certain virus if a threshold of vaccination is reached.

For example, herd immunity against measles requires about 95% of a population to be vaccinated. The remaining 5% will be protected by the fact that measles will not spread among those who are vaccinated.

For polio, the threshold is about 80%.

In other words, herd immunity is achieved by protecting people from a virus, not by exposing them to it.

Never in the history of public health has herd immunity been used as a strategy for responding to an outbreak, let alone a pandemic. It is scientifically and ethically problematic.

First, we don't know enough about immunity to COVID-19.

Most people who are infected with the virus that causes COVID-19 develop an immune response within the first few weeks, but we don't know how strong or lasting that immune response is, or how it differs for different people. We have some clues, but we don't have the complete picture.

There have also been some examples of people infected with COVID-19 being infected for a second time.

Second, the vast majority of people in most countries remain susceptible to this virus. Seroprevalence surveys suggest that in most countries, less than 10% of the population have been infected with the COVID-19 virus.

Letting the virus circulate unchecked therefore means allowing unnecessary infections, suffering and death.

And although older people and those with underlying conditions are most at risk of severe disease and death, they are not the only ones at risk. People of all ages have died.

Third, we're only beginning to understand the long-term health impacts among people with COVID-19. I have met with patient groups suffering with what is now being described as "Long COVID" to understand their suffering and needs so we can advance research and rehabilitation.

Allowing a dangerous virus that we don't fully understand to run free is simply unethical. It's not an option.

But we do have many options. There are many things that countries can do and are doing to control transmission and save lives.

It's not a choice between letting the virus run free and shutting down our societies.

This virus transmits mainly between close contacts and causes outbreaks that can be controlled by implementing targeted measures.

Prevent amplifying events.

Protect the vulnerable.

Empower, educate and engage communities.

And persist with the same tools that we have been advocating since day one: find, isolate, test and care for cases, and trace and quarantine their contacts.

This is what countries are proving works, every day.

Digital technologies are helping to make these tried-and-tested public health tools even more effective, such as mobile applications to support contact tracing efforts.

Germany's Corona-Warn app has been used to transmit 1.2 million test results from labs to users in its first 100 days.

The Aarogya Setu app from India has been downloaded by 150 million users, and has helped city public health departments to identify areas where clusters could be anticipated and expand testing in a targeted way.

In Denmark, more than 2700 people have been tested for

COVID-19 as a result of notifications received through a mobile application.

And the United Kingdom has rolled out a new version of its NHS COVID-19 app, which had more than 10 million downloads within the first week.

As well as alerting users that they may have been exposed to a positive COVID-19 case, the app allows users to book a test and receive results, keep track of the places they've visited and receive the latest advice on local restrictions.

WHO is working with the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control to help countries evaluate the effectiveness of their digital contact tracing apps.

This is just one example of the innovative measures countries are taking to control COVID-19.

There are many tools at our disposal: WHO recommends case finding, isolation, testing, compassionate care, contact tracing, quarantine, physical distancing, hand hygiene, masks, respiratory etiquette, ventilation, avoiding crowds and more.

We recognize that at certain points, some countries have had no choice but to issue stay-at-home orders and other measures, to buy time.

Many countries have used that time to develop plans, train health workers, put supplies in place, increase testing capacity, reduce testing time and improve care for patients.

WHO is hopeful that countries will use targeted interventions where and when needed, based on the local situation.

We well understand the frustration that many people, communities and governments are feeling as the pandemic drags on, and as cases rise again.

There are no shortcuts, and no silver bullets.

The answer is a comprehensive approach, using every tool in the toolbox.

This is not theory: countries have done it and are doing it today, successfully.

My message to every country now weighing up its options is: you can do it too.

I thank you.

Personal logo Editor in Chief Bill The Editor of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 5:28 a.m. PST

They also called for no more lockdowns.

link

Asteroid X14 Oct 2020 6:37 a.m. PST

Funny how that was ignored …

As well, just because something is said never have been done before does not make it the right thing to do.

Just look at Sweden.


Just think what the world would be like if people did not do anything that had not been done before.

DD Top14 Oct 2020 7:03 a.m. PST

Just look at Sweden? Covid deaths per million running at five times the rate of its neighbours Norway and Denmark

Personal logo McKinstry Supporting Member of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 8:59 a.m. PST

As pretty much all the statistics show, Sweden is the worst of the Nordic nations, by far.

If you must follow an example, Norway, Denmark or Finland have had far better results.

Personal logo McKinstry Supporting Member of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 12:35 p.m. PST

Sweden's estimated immunity is under 8% and the trade off was the one of the worst per capita death rates in the world. Given you need 70% minimum for herd immunity, they are looking like a pure fail at this point.

Asteroid X14 Oct 2020 5:37 p.m. PST

Please refer to the graph.

USAFpilot14 Oct 2020 5:54 p.m. PST

And how many deaths are uncharted because we shut down the economy? How many suicides of people who lost their jobs? How many people will now die of cancer that could have been prevented if they had been allowed to get cancer screening tests? All due to a virus that we have a 99.9% chance of surviving.

Personal logo McKinstry Supporting Member of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 6:31 p.m. PST

How is the economy currently shut down by government fiat? Certain sectors are impacted but restaurants are open, planes are flying, factories are producing and sporting events have spectators. The fact that sensible people are cautious does not constitute a lockdown and avoiding crowds, wearing a mask and washing hands are hardly activities that lead to a shut down economy.

That same 99.9% survivable virus (only if you are young and have zero co-morbidities) that is the third leading cause of death behind only cancer and heart disease and is down from a high of 800+ dead per day to a mere 600+ per day (but rising concurrent with rising case loads)is the equivalent of 4 fully loaded 737's crashing every day. I'd expect that to have an effect on rational citizens separate from any government mandate.

Personal logo McKinstry Supporting Member of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 6:32 p.m. PST

Please refer to the graph.

Please compare deaths per capita.

Personal logo McKinstry Supporting Member of TMP Fezian14 Oct 2020 9:22 p.m. PST

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