Help support TMP


"Coronavirus trend: The pandemic is far from over" Topic


5 Posts

All members in good standing are free to post here. Opinions expressed here are solely those of the posters, and have not been cleared with nor are they endorsed by The Miniatures Page.

Please avoid recent politics on the forums.

For more information, see the TMP FAQ.


Back to the Science Plus Board


Areas of Interest

General

Featured Hobby News Article


Featured Link


Featured Ruleset


Featured Showcase Article

Derivan Paints: Striking It Lucky With Colour

Sometimes at a convention, you can be just dead lucky and find a real bargain.


Featured Workbench Article

A Good-Looking Army in a Reasonable Amount of Time

Painting a wargaming army is a completely different beast from painting a single miniature for display.


Featured Profile Article

The da Vinci Jr. 1.0 3D Printer: Unboxing & Test Print

Personal logo Editor in Chief Bill The Editor of TMP Fezian unpacks and sets up an inexpensive 3D printer, and prints a test object.


Current Poll


309 hits since 14 Aug 2020
©1994-2024 Bill Armintrout
Comments or corrections?

Tango0114 Aug 2020 3:20 p.m. PST

"While some countries report more and more new cases every day, others are adapting to a "new normal." Data for the global picture shows that the pandemic is far from over. DW's weekly statistics update…"
See here

link


Amicalement
Armand

Mr Elmo15 Aug 2020 11:15 a.m. PST

In these parts fatigue has set in and the Rona is a big meh.

School is set to reopen. Students will wear the masks in the building and take them off to "hang out" after school…like they've been doing all summer.

Andrew Walters15 Aug 2020 3:29 p.m. PST

I don't understand how we got to this sort of thinking. Of course it's far from over. Why would it ever end? Influenza is still around. Rhinoviruses are still around. They're not "over". Infections diseases don't often end all on their own. The Black Death did, sort of, but that's the exception, not the rule.

Small Pox is over because we developed a vaccine and vaccinated pretty nearly everyone from 1958 to 1977, nineteen years. Technically it was "certified" as "eradicated" in 1980, and we had a vaccine as early as 1796, but it was twenty years of near universal vaccination that ended it.

If Novel-Corona-whatever does not mutate (big if) and if we get a vaccine (it's looking good) and if we can vaccinate nearly everyone (dicey, to say the least) then the pandemic will ease and in twenty years we'll be able to stop vaccinating kids.

If it *does* mutate as influenza does then everyone will need to get their annual Coronoa vaccine along with their flu shot forever. That's not a bad outcome, though not as good as the first. People will keep getting it, like we keep getting the flu, and people will keep dying, though we will get better at treating it and helping people survive.

In the meantime, without a vaccine, it's not going to end. No point in hoping. It's here, it's a thing, and no matter how much we want to go back to "normal" it doesn't happen just because time has passed.

In fact, if we don't get better at preventing the spread 1,000 people a day dying will turn into 2,000 people a day. Until the virus works its way through and everyone has either survived or not. But depending on the numbers you use that won't be until 1-3,000,000 people have died.

Anyone who says, "omigosh it's not over!" or "when will it end?" simply doesn't understand what's happening. Seems similar to watching your house burn and wondering when it will stop. It stops when you put it out or when the house is burned up. It won't just stop.

Sorry for the rant.

Personal logo StoneMtnMinis Supporting Member of TMP15 Aug 2020 8:39 p.m. PST

More testing = more cases, but death rates are downtrending.

So, YouTube link

Personal logo etotheipi Sponsoring Member of TMP16 Aug 2020 5:36 a.m. PST

The Black Death did, sort of, but that's the exception, not the rule.

The Black Death was not one disease, but the confluence of several, each of which made people more susceptible to the others. Yersinia Pestis is still around link and highly deadly untreated, but highly survivable if detected early and treated.


More testing = more cases

Simply, no.


death rates are downtrending.

I much the same way that the rate of incidence of dirt on my floor has been downtrending all morning. I should probably never sweep again.

Sorry - only verified members can post on the forums.