"two weeks? to economic collapse/" Topic

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Bessent predicts two weeks.

"In an interview over the weekend, Bessent said Iran is expected to make its final oil delivery to China within the next two weeks, after which, Tehran will have little left to trade and even less leverage at the bargaining table. That would allow the Treasury Department's Operation Economic Outcast sanctions to take full effect, tightening the financial pressure on Iran until it has little choice but to accept a U.S.-written peace agreement on American terms."

Well the Trump administration hs been right on everything so far with the war some I guess this is accurate too.

Yes, like the economists who have predicted seventeen of the last two recessions. LOL

Correct doc. Most of us should've died from environmental catastrophes by now.

Examples:

Global Mass Famine (1970s/1980s): Biologist Paul Ehrlich stated in The Population Bomb (1968) that hundreds of millions of people would starve to death in the 1970s and 1980s due to overpopulation outstripping food production.

Resource Depletion and Exhaustion (By 2000): Forecasters predicted the complete depletion of critical natural resources, including crude oil, copper, lead, gold, and silver, leading to industrial collapse by the end of the 20th century.

New Ice Age via Air Pollution (By 2000): Ecologist Kenneth Watt and other scientists warned in 1970 that massive atmospheric particulate pollution and nitrogen buildup would filter out sunlight, causing global temperatures to drop by 11 degrees and triggering a catastrophic new Ice Age.

Major US Smog Disasters (1973): Paul Ehrlich predicted that severe air pollution would take hundreds of thousands of lives in the 1970s, specifically forecasting that 200,000 Americans would die in 1973 during acute smog crises in New York and Los Angeles.

Suffocation of Freshwater Rivers: Barry Commoner warned that accumulating organic pollutants would completely strip America's rivers of oxygen, causing all freshwater fish to suffocate.

Politicians

The most prominent examples of these unrealized political predictions include:

1. The 5-to-7 Year "Ice-Free Arctic" (By 2014–2016)
One of the most famous and heavily cited examples occurred in December 2009 during a speech at the Copenhagen COP15 climate summit. Al Gore stated that computer modeling suggested a "75 percent chance the entire polar ice cap will melt in summer within the next five to seven years". [1, 2, 3]
* The Outcome: The Arctic summer ice cap did not disappear by 2014 or 2016.
* The Context: Fact-checks and climate scientists clarified that Gore was quoting an extrapolation by climatologist Dr. Wieslav Maslowski. However, Gore mischaracterized the data—Dr. Maslowski disputed the "75% likelihood" phrasing and noted his calculation was for an 80% reduction in ice volume, not a completely "ice-free" North Pole. Other scientists criticized Gore at the time for exaggerating the timeline, noting that a 20-to-30-year window was far more scientifically plausible. [1, 2, 3]

2. The Total Loss of Kilimanjaro's Snow (By 2016)
In his Oscar-winning 2006 documentary An Inconvenient Truth, Gore famously featured Africa's Mount Kilimanjaro, warning that "within a decade, there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro". [1, 2]
* The Outcome: Kilimanjaro continues to receive significant seasonal snowfall at its upper altitudes.
* The Context: Gore's prediction was a loose adaptation of a 2002 Science article outlining the rapid decline of Kilimanjaro's ice fields. Scientists involved in the research later noted that Gore took "literary license" with the phrasing. While the mountain's glaciers are actively vanishing, the complete and absolute disappearance of all snow within 10 years was an overstatement. [1, 2, 3]

3. Immediate 20-Foot Sea-Level Rise
Both An Inconvenient Truth and Gore's accompanying presentations heavily emphasized a scenario where a sudden collapse of West Antarctica or Greenland's major ice sheets would raise global sea levels by 20 feet (6 meters), showing animations of Manhattan and Florida entirely underwater. [1]
* The Outcome: Coastal cities and much of Florida remain intact and heavily populated.
* The Context: While sea levels continue to rise globally, climate models indicate that a catastrophic 20-foot surge is a process that would take several centuries, rather than the imminent crisis implied by the film's urgent presentation style. [1, 2, 3]

4. The 10-Year "Tipping Point" (By 2016)
During the promotional tour for his book and movie in 2006, Gore repeatedly warned that humanity had only 10 years left to drastically reduce greenhouse gases, or else the planet would reach a "point of no return" leading to unavoidable global planetary catastrophe.
* The Outcome: The 2016 deadline passed without triggering a sudden, irreversible global civilizational collapse.
* The Context: This is an example of what climate communicators call a "rhetorical deadline." While global carbon emissions continued to rise after 2016, the climate movement shifted away from fixed doomsday dates toward targeted emissions reductions goals (such as net-zero by 2050), recognizing that fixed timelines often damage scientific credibility when they pass without visible collapse.

Who could forget the prediction of this politician, U.S. Representative
Hank Johnson, a Democratic congressman from Georgia.

During a House Armed Services Committee hearing on March 25, 2010, Johnson was questioning Admiral Robert Willard, commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, regarding a proposed military buildup on the Pacific island territory of Guam. The plan involved relocating 8,000 U.S. Marines and their families to the island. [1, 2]
While discussing the physical dimensions of the island, Johnson stated:

"My fear is that the whole island will become so overly populated that it will tip over and capsize."

Admiral Willard paused briefly before responding deadpan: "Uhh, we don't anticipate that."

I believe Guam is still right side up. 🤔

I'm surprised he's giving a date before the midterms. Why set yourself up to be accountable before the big day? This is a very important midterm election. The message should be that everything is going great but you won't be able to SEE how great it is until right afterward. Saying you're going to fix something before the election is GREAT if you're certain you can actually fix it.

But I suspect the media will focus on record high gas prices and ICE shootings.

And if you want predictions, go to the prediction markets, not politicians.

They might focus on gas prices, but they are NOT record highs contrary to media and politicians accusations.

The national average for regular gasoline is around $4.47 USD per gallon, which is high and setting seasonal records for late summer and early autumn, but it remains below the all-time record high of $5.02 USD per gallon set in June 2022.

Funny they didn't give two shakes about it under Joe, and for no good reason back then. (Green energy).

Diesel? Maybe. but more to do with the war in the Ukraine.

As far as ICE. Many of us back them 100%.

The new all time lows in many crimes, such as murders, show they are doing a good job at it.

But even if they were not getting the worst of the worst out, I myself would still back them getting anyone here "illegally" out or into a center where a final decision could be made on their status.

Of course does not stop them "dropping" a citizen in the meantime. 😡

As far as his predictions, give them as much credence as any other politician.

Not something most of the MSM will want you to know until after the November elections.

Near 80%

Gulf oil producers are moving far more crude through the Strait of Hormuz than many expected possible, using US Navy-backed workarounds to keep one of the world's most important energy corridors operating despite Iran's pressure.
Oil and petroleum-product flows through the strategic waterway averaged 13.1 million barrels per day last week, according to marine-tracking firm Kpler. That is just below 80% of the 17.1 million barrels per day that crossed the strait before the war began.

"Given such a strong volume passing through the strait, it is clear Iran is losing its influence over it," Matt Smith, Kpler's director of commodity research, told CNN.

Subject: Defying war fears, Gulf oil producers keep massive crude flows moving through Strait of Hormuz


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