Falling global oil prices are choking Moscow's war chest, while Ukrainian long-range drones systematically hammer Russian energy and logistics. link
For years, Putin promised that Crimea was an untouchable fortress—now, the occupied peninsula is facing its worst fuel crisis in modern history, with authorities forced to completely halt gas sales to the public link
Map of Russian fuel shortages link
While the Bank of Russia claims inflation is at a manageable 5.6%, Swedish intelligence estimates real inflation in Russia is likely hovering around 15%, and bankruptcies among small businesses are skyrocketing. link
Analysts at TS Lombard, a division of GlobalData, note that we might be looking at an endgame within the next 12 months. Either Russia spends another year grinding out a few kilometers in Donbas at a catastrophic cost, or continued Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics will force Moscow into a ceasefire that fails every single one of its territorial goals.