"Iran?" Topic

The airlift numbers are significant — but logistics flows don't automatically equal invasion. They equate to properly arranged options. Prepositioning, reinforcement, force protection, and redundancy are what top-tier militaries do when tensions rise.

The useful part of this discussion is the "Advantage US" framing.

If the objective is degrading nuclear and missile infrastructure, that's a definable, limited goal. It's measurable. If the objective is regime elimination, that's an entirely different category — and historically far less predictable.

Strikes can degrade capability. They cannot guarantee political outcomes.

The question isn't whether we can hit C3 nodes or IRGC facilities. We can. Repeatedly. The question is whether degradation produces a more stable strategic balance — or accelerates escalation into broader regional conflict.

Force employment without clearly bounded objectives becomes momentum-driven. Momentum is not strategy.

If Israel acts independently, that alters timing — not necessarily the calculus.

"Advantage US" means defined objectives, limited scope, and an exit condition. Anything beyond that becomes something else.

OVI +1

SBm +1

Before the US and the IDF can strike decisively and effectively. On select targets in Iran or even elsewhere in the region. All the assets have to be in place/range, etc.

inca77 – I generally agree with your post. However, e.g. based on what the US and IDF did to Iran last year. I think the objectives will be obtained. Without boots on the ground. Again, based on my past experience, etc. I think the lessons learned in the recent past will make whatever the
OPLAN says very effective.

@Legion 4

From one pro-America vantage point to another, I don't question the capability piece. We both know what properly resourced strike packages can do when the OPLAN is solid and sequencing is right.

Where I probably differ slightly is in how heavily I weight escalation risk and second-order effects. Tactical success is achievable. The harder variable is regional reaction and durability of outcome.

That's not reluctance to act. It's risk modeling.

If objectives are bounded and clearly defined, I'm with you. If they start drifting toward openended transformation, that's where I get more cautious.

Well I certainly agree with you on … No mission creep …

Like I said, taking key and critical targets, whether equipment, personnel or infrastructure. US and IDF air assets i.e. drones, TLAMs, aircraft, etc.

To attrite the islamists assets to the point the Free Iran forces could be overrun, etc. Frankly I think the IRGC based what we have seen by some other armies in the region. Once their leadership is attrited, as are their personnel and equipment. Some may not want to be martyred … So they may try to escape, etc. Regardless, destroying key targets in Iran is essential. So the Free Iranians can have a fighting chance at least. To stop this thorn in the side of modernity once and for all.

Imagine how some things will be very better in the region with the Ayatollah, his minions, etc. gone …

What War With Iran Would Look Like

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Armand

"UNITED NATIONS: Iran's election as vice-chair of the United Nations Commission for Social Development is being slammed by human rights advocates and policy analysts, who have condemned the U.N.'s hypocrisy when it comes to its treatment of undemocratic regimes.

The leadership role was approved without objection during a meeting of the commission, where delegates adopted agenda items and organizational decisions by consensus.

The United Nations has faced continued criticism over its inaction towards the regime's violent crackdown against protesters in December and January. On Wednesday, U.N. Secretary General António Guterres faced criticism for congratulating Iran on the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution."

… what this entail…..

"The Islamic regime in Iran has just been elected as Vice-Chair of the U.N. Commission for Social Development, whose priority theme will be promoting democracy, gender equality, and ensuring tolerance and non-violence."

🤪 🙄

I saw a video on online. Where the speaker said some very interesting intel. The fact that the POTUS said we will strike Iran if the killing does not stop the killing.

Some in DC, the media, etc. faulted the POTUS for not striking while Iran was killing their protestors.

However, one of the reasons the US did not strike. Is there is another CVN TF on the way to the region. To join the other CVN TF that is there already. The US is marshaling forces, if for nothing else as one of the Principles of War is Mass.

Which the threat of the US strikes pending. Iran moved people, equipment, etc. Prepping for the attack by US air assets.

However, the US saw all that movement, etc. Intercepted all forms of commo, etc., etc. The US knows a lot more intel after this move. The US's pending assault forced Iran's hand. And now knows where Iran was moving many of their assets, etc..

A deception plan that Sun Tzu would approve …

While this deception was going on the second USN CVN TF is getting closer to a position where both CVN TFs can hit Iran. Operating together, to effectively strike the Ayatollah's regime, etc.

Again the POTUS and the US Military are thinking 5 moves or more than our enemies, e.g. Iran's militant moslem targets. They may not know it, but that may be living on borrowed time …

"The ruling Afghan Taliban, through top spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid, declared in an interview on Sunday it is prepared to offer its "full support" to Iran in the event of an American attack.

Mujahid reportedly made the remarks in an interview with Radio Iran that he published on his social media accounts. He was responding to questions about tension between Iran in the United States and ongoing attempts to organize talks between the leaders of both states."

Why does the tune: "Friends in Low Places" come to mind? 😏

The islamists all over the world should review what the US and IDF did and will do using superior tech, tactics, tech, etc. to militant, radical, fanatical, fundamentalist molsems.

Who are deluded enough, radicalized, etc. to think they will actually be able to continue their jihads to push the infidels influences, business, etc. out of islamic lands. And convert the world to an islamic fundamentalist caliphate. This can pretty much be done using air assets of all types. And few to no boots are on the ground.

But "Paradise" will continue to have new arrivals … indefinitely if required.

Note all moslems are not islamists … The West does have many moslem nations that does business, etc. with the denizens of those countries. May not all be BFFs. However with little incident … at least currently.

Heard we sent 30 more to paradise last week. According to reports leaking out of paradise, it looks like lot like………… Mogadishu Somalia. 😳

The ruling Afghan Taliban, through top spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid, declared in an interview on Sunday it is prepared to offer its "full support" to Iran in the event of an American attack.

If they do and we need to respond, we won't put boots on the ground. No foolish nation building -- just blowin' shite up from 60,000 feet up…

OVI +1

SMb +1

Yes, it is becoming clearer that once both USN CVN Gps are in range, etc. This is the best time to strike as Iran is very weak. Time to remove the major threat of islamic terrorism in the world. We can't allow islamists to get nukes … period. Plus we have to stop them killing of thousands by decimating the IRGC, C3, etc. With the Ayatollah and his regime off the board. It will be a big game changer for the region and the world.

If islamist supporters want to help, that is ok we have a lot of ordinance.

Iran Launches War Games In Straits Of Hormuz Amid US Tensions

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Armand

Trump moves closer to a major war with Iran

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Armand

It is reported this is the biggest buildup of US assets since the Gulf Wars. Primarily in ship and aircraft. Possibly some Spec Ops. If so … we will probably never know for now. There are no actual ground forces in this OOB… Unlikely no need any… This op is to support the Anti-Islamists Regime forces.
They will do be the boots on the ground. Once many of the Ayatollah's forces are heavily attrited. Again, IRGC, C3, etc., etc.

Reports are the islamist gov't has already loaded up aircraft with $, etc., etc. In prep for an evacuation from Iran. To some unknown location. Russia ? They don't want to be captured and end up like Mussolini. But I wouldn't be upset at all if that happens. 🥂 Skol !!! 🍻

IMO opinion this is going to happen in the near future. This regime must be ended. For security and peace in that region …

The weakness of US power projection has been made evident via unreliable allies like Starmer who seems ever eager to appease Islamists and Globalists. Time for CONUS to World projection using Rods from God!

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Rods from God would be very effective and a certainly interesting to see the end result. However, at this time, I think we don't need to play that trump card … just yet …