"Russia running out of military resources?" Topic

Unless something changes, before the end of this year Russian forces may have to adjust their posture to one that is much more defensive, says Mr Gjerstad. It could even become apparent before the end of summer. Expect Mr Putin's interest in agreeing a temporary ceasefire to increase.

Summary of analysis in The Economist.

Ukrainian Pravda: link

The Economist: link (requires log in)

Hardly a surprise and the sooner the better.

If I remember Perun's recent analysis correctly, the Russian tanks are 20% modern, 20% really old Soviet junk*, and the rest are late Soviet tanks refurbished or slightly upgraded.

Denys Davidov had video of a trainload of T-54s apparently being sent to the Ukrainian front! Unmodified.

Cuprum 2 surely has info about the new wave of T200 tanks… (smile)

Armand

I have heard similar reports … the Russians are running out of equipment and warm bodies. But Putin just keeps attacking …

The Russians are out of missiles. Already two years ago. And since then – three or four more times)))
The Russians ran out of shells… I don't remember how many times.
The Russian soldiers fled… Two years ago.
The Russians don't have trucks. Like a year ago?
Putin is terminally ill… Two years ago.
The Russian economy is torn to shreds. Hungry people will sweep away Putin's power. Two years ago…

Am I missing something?

Am I missing something?

How are you posting, now that Russia is cracking down on VPN usage?

Russia Classifies Mortality Data after Ukraine War Losses Revealed

link

Armand

Editor in Chief Bill, I don't use a VPN.

Tango01, even if this were true, then the price for pushing NATO back from our border is not high. Especially considering that this is two and a half years of high-intensity modern warfare.

Well you have not pushed NATO back even one inch. Actually NATO has extended its border as Finland joined. So you have failed in that aspect.

As for high price. Your army is wrecked. You have lost almost your entire Black sea fleet. Your airforce have been brutalized. And all this against old cast off NATO weapons from the -80s and early-90s.

Good work. Really successful.

The Economist and Ukrainian Pravda aren't exactly beacons of truth in this situation. The conflict has turned into WW1 style attrition, where Russia has the advantage. Identify the Ukrainian positions, drop a series of FABs, follow up with artillery barrages, then move in small assault teams to seize what is left. Definitely old school, but if you look at the maps, the Russians are moving a few kilometers here, a kilometer there, and making SLOW, but steady advances. As long as manpower is available and resources allow the production of missiles and artillery shells, that seems to be all they need.

No. We did everything right. Let's see what happens after the defeat of Ukraine)))

Aegiscg47 pretty much what I see happening. I heard the Russians recaptured another small town back. A war of attrition can pretty much only go one way. Unless a large influx of "volunteer foreign legions" join the Ukraine, as in the Spanish Civil War.

I take what the media on all sides are saying about this war with a grain of salt.

Yes, Putin's fear of NATO expansion backfired on him. With the invasion of Ukraine, both Finland[which has an 800 mile+ border with Russia] and Sweden joined NATO.

Something should have been clear to the Russians/former USSR leadership and intel assets. When many of the former WP joined NATO after the fall of the old Soviet Union. Even when Yugoslavia disbanded, more than 1/2 of those now free nations joined NATO as well.

"No. We did everything right." Not really your 3 day special operation did not go quite according to plan, but the ruscum have proved very good at bombing hospitals and murdering civilians, just like the nazis they like to brand everyone else, when in fact they are a nazi state led by their own little dictator,

Tally Ho!

nickinsomerset + 1

What catches my attention is Cuprum little (or nothing) empathy for the Russian soldiers who fell at the front… it is clear that there is no close friend or relative who is at risk in this war from his part… even the most warlike countries deeply regretted to their dead… of course in modern times… the barbarians didn't do it as much…

Armand

Russians do not feel sorry for their fallen soldiers – they are proud of them.

Your attempts to accuse the Russians of deliberate cruelty to civilians are ridiculous. Civilian casualties in this war are the lowest among large-scale modern wars.

IMHO, the real danger of Russia running low on conventional weapons, is that Putin is more likely to chose nuclear or chemical options.

Cuprum: "Russians do not feel sorry for their fallen soldiers – they are proud of them."

So it is good thing to make Russians proud, prouder, proudest.. in meatgrinder?
Russians deliberate cruelty to civilians are not ridiculous but traditional.
It is not their first time to came from their swamps and kill neighbours, like their ally Hamas did against Israel on last year. Ivan the Terrible kills all the slavic people in Novgorod (near novadays Peterburg) and now Putin try to kill all slavic people in Ukraine.

Russian heavy tank losses are concerning to Moscow …

link