Bagration would have been much less successful if not for Normandy.
Hardly matters, though. By the summer of 1944 the Soviets could afford to fail with Operation Bagration. The Germans not only could not afford to fail, they could not even afford to win.
By this time the Soviets were producing about 3,000 tanks per month. And the population under Soviet control, from which they conscripted forces for their army, was growing by more than 100,000 adult males per month.
So yeah, 1,400 tanks might make a difference in one Soviet offensive. And then what? There will be another Soviet offensive.
They Soviet planning was based on using up all of the tanks in each of their strategic operations. Basically the tanks were considered as expendable as ammunition. You used them up, achieved what you achieved, and then planned your next operation using the next quantity of tanks that became available. At 3,000 tanks per month production, that meant a strategic offensive every month or so.
Even with all that the Soviets put into Bagration in July, they launched another strategic offensive, the 2nd Jassy Kishinev offensive, in August. This campaign took Romania out of the Axis camp, and all the petroleum that had flowed to the German war effort from Ploesti was cut off. This one change had a greater impact on German warmaking potential than the entire allied strategic bombing campaign of 3 1/2 years' duration.
So if Bagration falls short … so what?
-Mark
(aka: Mk 1)