"PRC invading Taiwan? Naaah! It's bad for business." Topic

Chinese business.

Why a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be catstrophe – on doxa.substack.com

So, is it?

Maybe. Maybe not. There's so many factors worth discussing here that you could write a thesis on the subject! China could be looking for a signal from the U.S. that they would not intervene, then through threats, bluster, a demonstration of force, etc., they could just take over the island. They are already taking over the Philippines slowly and surely through economic means, so there are other options than a massive invasion.

The other issue is that they are running out of containers to ship their goods over to the U.S.(we're not shipping them back-see reports on all of them stacked in Long Beach) and there could be vast economic repercussions from that. If your economy is going to tank anyway, you may as well invade, survive the sanctions, then make an economic comeback.

It's 110km from the mainland to Taiwan. Consider that in terms of invasion. Helos? Sure, but how do you sustain that and you won't have heavy equipment. Surface ships? Sure, but the US, UK and Canada with nearly unlimited resources felt it was even odds that D-Day would fail over a distance of 34km.

I'm not saying it's impossible, but I think any serious military planner would see such an invasion as serious daunting. China could pull it off, but it would be seen coming a long way off.

I think a take over by coercion much more likely.

Nope. Chinese don't care what it costs. They were willing to cut Hong Kong Autonomy off at the knees and accept the financial Hit to achieve their goals, why would they care about Taiwan?

We invaded numerous islands in the Pacific in WWII, thousands of miles away, so it can be done.

Easier today than back then too, with all the high tech, and with their massive maritime militia.

If they can't get Taiwan to agree to surrender voluntarily, and come back into the fold, they WILL blockade, and/or invade, eventually. Probably sooner rather than later.

Sure, there may be an economic hit at first, but they'll more than make up for that by controlling more than half the world's computer chip production.

Ah, yes. The Great Illusion.
Norman Angell wrote his book in 1909, insisting that another War was impossible, due to the economic devastation that would ensue.
>>cough cough<< World War I, or the Great War. >>cough cough<<
He won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1933 for this perceptive analysis.

High end, large scale production of cutting edge semiconductors like they do in Taiwan is not exactly easy.
Some even argue, rocket science is much easier.

Especially when the production sites and the needed highly specialized personal is gone for good, because of some scientifically exact placed and rather cheap rockets.

It may just comedown to the "Benjamins" … as always …

Just have an evacuation plan that takes all the Taiwanese people and moves them here. We set up our own semi conductor business and continue on, and China gets an empty island!

takes all the Taiwanese people and moves them here

To Wisconsin?

Let's see:

Nature in Wisconsin on Google

Nature in Taiwan on Google

Yeah, looks similar.
Beautyfull, congratulation, pretty finding.
You really should ask the Taiwanese.
Highly educated people, hardworking.

Sadly, in my corner probably no chance.
Here they seem to prefer low educated fugitives from other peoples quarrels and corruption.

…
P.s.
Yes I know, it doesn't matter which place on earth you look for with google in combination with the term 'nature'.
You will alway get beautyful stock photos on the first page.
Isn't it sad?

The US currently has thousand from all over the world thru our Southern border "relocated" over the USA. … nuff' said …