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"This statistical analysis determined the 10 best generals" Topic


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804 hits since 24 Aug 2020
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Tango0124 Aug 2020 10:17 p.m. PST

…of all time

"Someone went and moneyball-ed military history. Ethan Arsht applied the principles of baseball sabermetrics to the performances of history's greatest generals' ability to win battles. It starts with comparing the number of wins from that general to a replacement general in the same circumstances…"
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Amicalement
Armand

John the OFM25 Aug 2020 12:07 a.m. PST

Only on a list like this can you be ranked higher than the guy who beat you.
So much for sabermetrics. I don't think much of it in sports either.

jwebster Supporting Member of TMP25 Aug 2020 7:46 a.m. PST

Ah yes

Analysis by someone who understands neither warfare nor statistics

Tango0125 Aug 2020 11:57 a.m. PST

Glup!…

Amicalement
Armand

mildbill25 Aug 2020 12:42 p.m. PST

mark twain said 'there are lies, damn lies and statistics.'

GildasFacit Sponsoring Member of TMP25 Aug 2020 1:00 p.m. PST

Mark Twain was, of course, a famous statistician !!!

Actually he was a journalist – so he'd know all about lies & dammed lies.

Shagnasty Supporting Member of TMP25 Aug 2020 2:20 p.m. PST

Bovine feces. No one was better than Alexander.

Puster Sponsoring Member of TMP26 Aug 2020 1:58 p.m. PST

Statistic is the only truth we have – if only we could understand its meaning…

Personal logo javelin98 Supporting Member of TMP26 Aug 2020 3:53 p.m. PST

Wow. His only variables were number of battles won and total forces involved. No consideration of how, say, cultural idiosyncrasies were key factors in battles at Agincourt or Cannae, or how psychological warfare contributed to the outcomes at Austerlitz and Normandy, or how the vagaries of weather determined victories at Towton, Stalingrad, Moscow (1812), Moscow (1941), or Moscow (any other times it's been invaded).

This methodology is definitely overly-simplistic.

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