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"Predictions for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season just" Topic


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Tango01 Supporting Member of TMP17 Aug 2020 3:44 p.m. PST

…got worse


"Chalk up one more way 2020 could be an especially stressful year: The Atlantic hurricane season now threatens to be even more severe than preseason forecasts predicted, and may be one of the busiest on record.

With as many as 25 named storms now expected twice the average number 2020 is shaping up to be an "extremely active" season with more frequent, longer and stronger storms, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warns. Wind patterns and warmer-than-normal seawater have conspired to prime the Atlantic Ocean for a particularly fitful year although it is not yet clear whether climate change had a hand in creating such hurricane-friendly conditions. "Once the season ends, we'll study it within the context of the overall climate record," Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said during an Aug. 6 news teleconference.

The 2020 hurricane season is already off to a rapid start, with a record-high nine named storms by early August, including two hurricanes. The average season, which runs June through November, sees two named storms by this time of year…"
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Amicalement
Armand

saltflats192917 Aug 2020 5:38 p.m. PST

At this point I wouldn't even be surprised if they had sharks in them.

Thresher01 Supporting Member of TMP17 Aug 2020 5:59 p.m. PST

They've been predicting very active seasons for the last couple of decades, or more.

Most the time they're usually wrong, OR, the number of severe storms making landfall are far less than predicted.

Of course, big storms do occasionally hit with a vengeance, so it's really just a big crap shoot. Eventually your number WILL come up.

von Schwartz17 Aug 2020 6:30 p.m. PST

+1 Thresher

We ALL know how accurate they have been with their predictions….choke…gag..!!

If you keep predicting the same thing for 10 or 20 years you're bound to get it right once or twice.

Wackmole9 Supporting Member of TMP17 Aug 2020 7:22 p.m. PST

Well they do keep changing the criteria. They uses to only named Hurricanes and now its every storm system.

Zephyr117 Aug 2020 9:11 p.m. PST

Even though I live in FL, I don't take these "predictions" seriously, ever since the main 'expert' made predictions at the beginning of H season, then changed it partway through to make it look like he was right. Now they all do it.
However, the only prediction that I know is accurate is that my homeowners insurance will go up because they've predicted so many storms, even if one never hits me…

Thresher01 Supporting Member of TMP18 Aug 2020 7:35 a.m. PST

Yea, only "three" things are certain, death, taxes, and insurance premium increases.

Tango01 Supporting Member of TMP18 Aug 2020 12:09 p.m. PST

Glup!….

Amicalement
Armand

von Schwartz18 Aug 2020 6:36 p.m. PST

Well I also have a "Grudge" against the so called meteorologists who predict these things.
Waaaay back in 2005 after 4 hurricanes hit Florida just north of Tampa, the president of the company I was working for at the time decided to cease soliciting new business in the state of Florida. The Florida rep had just retired and I put in for his position, my supervisor originally accepted my offer. Then came the DAMN storms. The "Experts" predicted more storms and more severe storms, and POOF!!! there goes my transfer.
I got a modicum of revenge though, NO significant storms for the next 10 years, and only a couple minor ones till 2018. They would've made literally millions in premiums.

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