"Egyptian-Ethiopian Talks On The Nile Dam Have Been Stall" Topic

…Again

"Facing Ethiopia's unilateral decision to begin filling the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam's reservoir before coming to a full agreement with Egypt over a storage and operation mechanism in the dam, Cairo has taken a new diplomatic path, briefing the UN Security Council members May 1. It stated in an all-inclusive letter all of the unsuccessful diplomatic efforts and paths taken regarding the dam in light of Ethiopia's intransigence and unilateral decision to fill the dam.

Egypt's Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry's letter to the Security Council president for May, Estonia's Foreign Minister Urmas Reinsalu, clearly states, "Ethiopia announcing its intention to seize the Blue Nile waters to fill the dam's reservoir in July 2020 poses a serious threat to the region's peace and security. Filling the dam's reservoir, which is being promoted as the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa, would jeopardize the water security, food security, and indeed, the very existence of over 100 million Egyptians, who are entirely dependent on the Nile River for their livelihood."…"

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Unfortunately, ignoring the effects of climate change, unfettered population growth, and sheer egotism will bring us more conflicts. Get ready for the "water wars" in many places of the world.

TLDR did a good video about this.

IMHO, Egypt better cave and get an agreement soon, because there is nothing to stop Ethiopia from doing whatever they want. Egypt can't bomb them. Egypt doesn't have huge economic power anymore, Egypt doesn't have enough friends. They have gotten used to owning the nile, but they don't anymore.

They could try to hold the canal hostage, to compel the international community to pressure Ethiopia into a more favorable agreement, but the canal is a *huge* portion of Egypt's economy (30%-ish, depending on the year and how it's calculated), so that might be cutting off their nose to spite their face.

Depending on how the Arab countries decide to participate in the situation the whole dynamic of the region is going to change. This will take years to play out, but it will be an interesting show.

..then also throw the Sudan in the mix..

Yea, Ethiopia does seem to be in the driver's seat.

Once the dam is filled, I doubt the issue will be much of a problem except during drought years.

I do recall the Dambuster's Raid in WWII though, and suspect others do as well, so that could make life interesting if the Egyptians can come up with large enough ordnance to do some damage.

As I understand it the dam will produce so much electricity that Ethiopia will have more than it needs. So they can sell it. Maybe to Sudan. Maybe for cheap. Promises of cheap electricity have Sudan on the side of Ethiopia. Even if Egypt had the bombs, bombers, and aircrews, how are they going to get there?

On top of that, who's helping Ethiopia build the dam? China. Might China use their influence in the UN, Africa, and basically everywhere else to help Ethiopia and toss Egypt under the bus? I know how I would bet.