Welcome to the Tank Procurement game, where you are the Minister of Defense for the glorious Generic Nation Republic or GNR. The point is you read a summary of events for the fictitious GNR and recommend what MBTs the nation should procure for given scenario. Later I will post a follow up with what happens next. It is like "Choose your own adventure" but with tanks! I recommend you check out this thread first to get up to speed TMP link To play this round and post your choices to the thread. The most popular selections will be used to map out the rest of the story. With that said here is round two:
Summary of events to present day (March 3rd 2002)
1995-With the death of the old dictator the old regime dissolves and in a relatively peaceful revolution the GNR is formed.
1996- The GNR defense forces undergoes dramatic reforms to modernize and transition to a all volunteer force. As part of this process 90 T-72M1s and 60 AMX-30B2 were acquired.
1997- Freed from the shackles of corruption under the old regime, the GNR economy prospers, particularly the agricultural sector. Though still a small and developing economy, the standard of living begins to notably rise in the GNR. In contrast the neighboring PRGBG's economy has collapse without Soviet Bloc aid and the nation is on the verge of famine.
1998-The PRGBG food crisis become critical and the PRGBG politburo eyes with envy the increasingly productive farms of the border region with the GNR. The PRGBG launches a diplomatic campaign of false accusations of mistreatment of ethnic minorities in the region. Using this as a justification PRGBG army crosses the border into GNR. Starting the "August War" (for a summary of the war see the bottom of the thread at: TMP link
1999-The PRGBG is in the mist of famine and its aggression in the "August War" has isolated it from international aid. In a desperation to increase productive farm land, aquifers long though depleted are resurveyed. To the shock of surveyors sizable natural gas deposits are located during the process. This find is kept a State secret, but is soon discovered by KSB intelligence.
2000-The GNR begins refitting of its military as its transition to an all volunteer force is completed and its national economy continues brisk and steady growth. In PRGBG several generals launch a coup and quickly gain the support of the "Elite Battalions." GNR intelligence believes this coup is supported by the KSB who are bankrolling the rebellious generals. The KSB invaded the PRGBG shortly after the coup to designate "Civilian Safety Zones," these zones happen to coincide with locations of all recently discovered natural gas deposits. The PRGBG had not recover from the "August War" and quickly collapsed under joint pressure of the rebels and KSB forces.
2001- The KSB declares the former PRGBG a "semiautonomous protectorate" of the KSB. The international community decries this act a nothing but wanton aggression but takes no action. Foreign investment flows into the KSB as it opens up natural gas deposits for development, which allowed for a substantial military buildup. On December 31, 2001 the KSB formally annexes all territory belonging to the former PRGBG.
2002- Relations between the GNR and the KSB are at an all time low. KSB media is staring to publish maps showing all GNR, PRGBG and KSB territory lumped into "Greater Baddonia." The KSB monarchy routinely signals threats to the GNR and paints the GNR as the aggressor in the August War. Both nations militaries are at a heightened state of readiness and the situation is a powder keg.
The present (March 3, 2002)- GNR leadership are uncertain as to the next course of action and the parliament has requested its Defense Ministry publish a recommendation report. Some believe that a invasion of former PRGBG territory is needed to cut off the KSB access to natural gas income, or else the KSB military will grow too powerful for the GNR to defend against. Others believe a focus on defense is preferable, citing the performance of the GNR Defense Force in the "August War" as an example a smaller GNR forces defeating a larger invasion.
As Defense Minister please recommend if the GNR should support an offensive or defensive strategy? Please note that the GNR Foreign Office believes that an invasion into former PRGBG territory will not be opposed by the international community if the GNR claims no territory for itself and does not enter pre-annexation KSB territory.
Additionally, the KSB forces have modernized with the help of petro dollars and incorporated the remains of the former PRGBG army. Current intelligence reports show the following inventory:
500 T-62s (mostly manned by former PRGBG soldiers, it is unclear how well trained or motivated they are under the KSB regime)
200 T-72Ms (Manned by KSB crews and former Elite Battalions members, both are considered to be much more motivated than former PRGBG conscripts)
100 Leclerc MBTs (Manned by the KSB Royal Guard which GNR intelligence believes to be highly trained and motived)
1500 M113 APCs (Locally modified and patterned after the IDF "Zelda" series).
Large numbers of 4x4 jeeps and light and heavy unarmored trucks.
Large numbers of towed artillery, with some light MRLS unit almost entirely of Russian or Chinese manufacture.
Intelligence reports from the occupation of the PRGBG show KSB soldiers to be well trained and motivated. Junior offices are highly competent, but unoriginal in their thinking and can be slow to react to changing situations. At the higher ranks the KSB armed forces suffers from political cronyism with promotions based more on loyalty and political considerations rather than competence.
The KSB army has shown itself to be capable of combined arms operations and its skill in use of ATGMs from M113s was highly impressive to GNR generals.
In 2000 the GNR defense forces underwent refitting and adopted the following (please choose one)
The large numbers of wrecked and abandon PRGBG tanks left in the GNR following the August war were:
A: Sold off for scrap as it was deemed maintaining them would put an undue burden on logistics and 20 new T-72M1M with ERA were purchased. Note this option will increase MBT logistic availability by 100 MBTs in offensive and defensive operations.
B: Contracts were signed with Ukrainian arms manufactures which were able to salvage and update 300 T-55AMV-1 MBTs armed with 9M117 "Bastion" ATGM systems.
C: Contracts were signed with Israeli arms manufactures which were able to salvage and update 250 MBT based on the design of the Tiran 5 (remodeled with rifled 105mm/L51 main gun).
In addition to this inventory the GNR currently (as of 2002) fields:
100 T-72M1M with ERA kit
70 AMX-30B2 with BRENUS kit
100 M3 Panhard armored personnel carriers (of multiple variants)
300 Renault VAB armored personnel carriers (of multiple variants)
200 AMX-10P Infantry fighting vehicles (of multiple variants)
In addition the GNR has a large motor pool of 4x4,6x6 and 8x8 military cargo trucks.
Lastly most GNR artillery is entirely towed and is from western sources dating mostly from the 1980s.
At present the GNR defense force has the logistics to field up to 400 MBT in active defensive operations and 200 MBT in offensive operations. It is estimated that this number will fall somewhat depending on the additions of new MBT models based on the total number and logistical complexity of any new addition. Please note that the MBTs remaining over the logistical limit will still be "in the field" but will need to be held in reserves or in semi-static defense.
One last note, in terms of airpower (both in fixed wing and helicopters) the KSA has an advantage in numbers. However, the GNR has a good inventory of Swedish RBS 70 MANPADS and Minstrel missiles mounted on VAB carries. It is unlikely that either side will maintain air superiority, but the GNR will find itself primarily on the defensive in the air.
The GNR defense force feels that its MBT fleet needs to be increased to counter the expanding and modernizing KSB army. The following purchasing options are submitted to you for your recommendation to parliament.
60 AMX-30B2 with BRENUS kit and 70 T-72M1M with ERA kit (the "August War" mix)
80 Leopard 2A6
90 M1A2 export variant (noted no depleted uranium armor along with other downgrades)
120 AMX-30B2 with BRENUS kit
130 PT91A with ERAWA-2 kit
130 T-90S export variety with 9M119 "Refleks" ATGM system
130 T-80UD (diesel engine variety) with 9M119 "Svir" ATGM system
135 M603 with ERA kit
140 Type 96 MBT
140 T-72M1M with ERA kit
Lastly the USA has offered the GNR a military aid package. The following options are available:
100 mothballed M48A5 MBTs
or
Logistical support vehicles allowing GNR defense force to increase its ability to field an additional 30 MBTs in offensive and defensive operations.
Lastly do you recommend the GNR prepare for offensive operations into the former PRGBG or focus on defense of borders with KSB and hope for in international solution?
Despite the success of the August War offensive operations will be difficult. Once crossing the border river with the former PRGBG much of the former PRGBG terrain is rolling rugged hill country, forested ridges and valleys spotted with thousands of small lakes. A product of retreating glaciers during the Ice age. It is unclear how the local population will react. Intelligence reports show that the KBS annexation has been popular in the cities but unpopular in the rural areas, which make up the vast majority of the population. The PRGBG was a impoverished country with a poor infrastructure. Most recent development has gone into creating walled luxury neighborhoods for those loyal to the KSB and natural gas extraction . Spending has been lavish on former PRGBG officers to buy their loyalty and keep their troops in line. Whatever the reaction from the locals we should expect a tough fight from the KSB forces and their allies who will take full advantage of the terrain.
The defensive option is not much better. We can hope for international pressure for force a KSB withdrawal and a restoration of sovereignty for the former PRGBG. However, the PRGBG was such a pariah state that it has little support in the international community. It is hopes that if the KSB were show aggression toward the GNR we would receive some international support, but this cannot be counted on as it may amount to little more than words of encouragement. The GNR Defense Force has shown itself to be highly capable in the defense of its homeland. But with the annexation of the PRGBG, the KSB has twice the population of the GNR and with its natural gas income it can now out spend us at a three to one margin. So the disparity between are forces will only grow over time.
Please review the report carefully and provide a report to parliament as to you procurement recommendation and whether the GNR Defense force should focus on preparing offensive or defensive operations in a future conflict with the KSB.
(Summary of choices for the player: 1. What to do with the tank wrecks from the August War. 2. What new MBT acquisitions should be made. 3. What form of US aid should be excepted 4. Should the GNR prepare for a offensive or defensive war.)