"Who Will Benefit From A Saudi Arabia - Iran War?" Topic

"Saudi Arabia and Iran are moving closer to a direct military confrontation that has the potential to disrupt Middle East oil supplies and push crude oil prices back towards the $60 USD, even $100 USD, level.

That's a dream scenario for American frackers who will have to pump oil as fast as they can to make up any supply shortfall to America's allies.

For several years, Saudi Arabia and Iran have been trying to resolve their religious and political differences by fighting proxy wars that had little impact on oil prices. For a simple reason: they didn't want to cause any disruptions in the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf. Besides, Washington has been the de facto guarantor of the free flow of oil from the Gulf to its Asian and European allies…"
Main page
link

Who?…. My list?….Russia. Venezuela, Nigeria, Libya, Canada's oil industry, industries in renewal industries, and yes …. American frackers

Amicalement
Armand

My money's on the arms dealers/companies who will keep them both supplied.

Saudi wins, more money, more Sunnis (Sunnis outnumber Shia 10 to 1). Very similar to 30 years war.

SA is not Iraq, which fought an eight-year "War of Attrition" vs. Iran in the 1980's. Despite all the bluster and saber-rattling, SA will not go to war with Iran because it won't even take on the Houthi rebels and their allies from the Yemeni army in its own backyard.

SA prefers others to fight its wars and Iran knows it.

UK and US arms dealers to Saudi win.

Russia, China, (and probably US and UK still) arms dealers to Iran win.

Saudis are mostly inept. Only their mercs worth something, woukd they fight?
Their huge armament expediture works as an anxiolitic insurrance.
Iranians, if motivated,nhave a long history of fighting properly.
So saudis alone ( that is without western backing) 0.

Real wonners: those who will sell oil+++

Unless we (The U.S.)physically interpose our troops between Iran and the Saudis, the Iranians will be in Riyadh in about as long as it takes them to drive there.

Jcfrog is right. It would all depend on how well the Saudi's mercs fight, if they even fight at all.

But, seeing as how the West could not stand the idea of Iran winning control of the Saudi oil and that of their neighbors, I think the Saudis will immediately have backing from all of us infidels.

Now, if the Western powers were to miraculously stay out of it, we could just sit back and watch how the Shia and Sunni take sides, and even cross lines, and listen as how each side calls it holy war.

In an all-out Shia vs Sunni Holy War the energy of the Islamic radicals will be redirected for a short while against something other than the West. But only for a short while because, in the end, they'll still find some way to blame the whole thing on the infidels.

Dan

Popcorn manufacturers

I'm beginning to think that shameless TMP members who view wars as a "spectator sport" and root for them are the real winners here.

Let's hope that wars are limited on the tabletop, shall we?

Shia vs. Sunni is like Nazi vs. Communist. The free world would benefit.

+1 Badgers

Let's hope that wars are limited on the tabletop, shall we?

One could hope but it is not going to happen. War is a way to impose your will on others, without getting their agreement. Its always going to be an option.