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"Could The U.S. Military Stop A Russian invasion Of ..." Topic


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Tango01 Supporting Member of TMP06 Oct 2016 10:15 p.m. PST

…The Baltics?

"After conducting an exhaustive series of wargames wherein "red" (Russian) and "blue" (NATO) forces engaged in a wide range of war scenarios over the Baltic states, a Rand Corporation study called "Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank" determined that a successful NATO defense of the region would require a much larger air-ground force than what is currently deployed.

In particular, the study calls for a NATO strategy similar to the Cold War era's "AirLand Battle" doctrine from the 1980s. During this time, the U.S. Army stationed at least several hundred thousand troops in Europe as a strategy to deter a potential Russian invasion. Officials with U.S. Army Europe tell Scout Warrior that there are currenty 30,000 U.S. Army soldiers in Europe.

The Rand study maintains that, without a deterrent the size of at least seven brigades, fires and air support protecting Eastern Europe, that Russia cold overrun the Baltic states as quickly as in 60 hours…"

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Personal logo piper909 Supporting Member of TMP06 Oct 2016 11:05 p.m. PST

What, no tough love for Lithuania?

Personal logo piper909 Supporting Member of TMP06 Oct 2016 11:07 p.m. PST

Dunno. Could Russia stop a US invasion of Iraq?

Supercilius Maximus07 Oct 2016 2:13 a.m. PST

So we've stopped pretending by using Blue versus Orange, then?

Badgers07 Oct 2016 2:45 a.m. PST

No. A bunch of civilians with Javelins could stop a Russian invasion.

PMC31707 Oct 2016 3:19 a.m. PST

While the Russians are involved in Syria and the Crimea/Eastern Ukraine, the likelihood of an invasion of the Baltic states is very small.

Silent Pool07 Oct 2016 4:07 a.m. PST

I suspect the new European Union Army will reestablish the status quo.

Peace on you all peace

Pan Marek07 Oct 2016 6:30 a.m. PST

"The National Interest" seems to be be only interested in causing war hysteria. Not really surprising given their ties tot he defense industry.

GarrisonMiniatures07 Oct 2016 6:58 a.m. PST

Could Russia then protect the Ukraine and Kalingrad?

GarrisonMiniatures07 Oct 2016 8:35 a.m. PST

By Ukraine I meant, of course, the Crimea and those other 'disputed' areas currently held by 'volunteers'.

kiltboy07 Oct 2016 8:52 a.m. PST

Stop as in stop at the border?

Or stop as in making it economically unwise to do so?

Or stop as in Nato then starts sinking ships, shooting down aircraft. etc. etc. until Russia decides that the invasion was a bad idea and heads back over the border?

David

Mako1107 Oct 2016 11:32 a.m. PST

No.

Much like the EU, we can't even stop an invasion by…..self-censored for content.

I suspect you can figure out the rest.

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP07 Oct 2016 1:14 p.m. PST

NATO would have to have a lot of units in place in those Baltic States to stop the initial Russian Forces. But even if they took the Baltics, that may be as far as they could go for a number of reasons.

Charlie 1207 Oct 2016 2:25 p.m. PST

It depends on how much 'skin' you want to put into the 'game'. If the Russian's really want them, there's not much (short of nukes) to stop them. But at what cost? Russia can't even make the payments on their current adventures. Adding a Baltic 'adventure' may be one too many.

Pan Marek- You're so right, 'National Interest' is now more mouthpiece than news and analysis source.

Balthazar Marduk08 Oct 2016 4:16 p.m. PST

Does the United States need to stop an invasion of the Baltics? There are already hundreds of thousands of combat troops in Europe.

America doesn't -need- to stop the Russians. It's our job over here in North America to reinforce them if it gets too crazy, in my opinion.

Great War Ace08 Oct 2016 6:52 p.m. PST

No.

Deadles09 Oct 2016 3:36 p.m. PST

Of course they couldn't. It's actually a very small chunk of ground and the roads are infinitely better now than they were in 1940.

The only way NATO would be able to stop the Russians is to convert a chunk of Estonia and Latvia into military fortified zones backed up by massive armoured reserves and airpower.

Stationing 4-12 fighter aircraft and a couple of battalions of light infantry to supplement the weak forces fielded by the Baltics won't be more than a speed hump.

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