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"If El Niņo Comes This Year, It Could Be a Monster " Topic


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Tango0114 Apr 2014 10:00 p.m. PST

No wargames if El Niņo comes! (smile).

"Official NOAA Climate Prediction Center estimates peg the odds of El Niņo's return at 50 percent, but many climate scientists think that is a lowball estimate. And there are several indications that if it materializes, this year's El Niņo could be massive, a lot like the 1997-98 event that was the strongest on record."I think there's no doubt that there's an El Niņo underway," said climate scientist Kevin Trenberth of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research. "The question is whether it'll be a small or big one."On top of some late-'90s nostalgia, a strong El Niņo would bring pronounced changes to weather patterns around the globe, and possibly relief from some of the less-pleasant weather trends that have dominated headlines this year. After a Polar Vortex-fueled, unbearably cold winter in the U.S. Midwest and East Coast, a strong El Niņo could bring warmer, drier weather in late 2014. And to parched California and its prolonged drought, El Niņo might provide drenching rainstorms to fill up reservoirs. But the news won't all be good. Rainstorms in California could mean floods and mudslides and, coupled with climate change, El Niņo could bring harsher droughts to parts of Australia and Africa…"
Full article here.
link

Be safe boys! (smile).

Amicalement
Armand

John the Greater15 Apr 2014 9:03 a.m. PST

That el niņo kid is starting to Bleeped text me off!

Feet up now15 Apr 2014 1:40 p.m. PST

Chelski would be very grateful if he returns to form I suspect.

Mako1115 Apr 2014 6:18 p.m. PST

Bring it on.

We need the rain, and the resultant sea life moving up the coast in the warmer waters near the surface make life interesting too.

Twilight Samurai15 Apr 2014 9:10 p.m. PST

Australia doesn't need another ten year drought, but I suppose it's inevitable.

Mark Plant16 Apr 2014 3:21 a.m. PST

Trenberth is big on making predictions. Not so good on getting them right however.

"Rainstorms in California could mean floods and mudslides and, ..'

That's what rainstorms do, after all. It's not like it's a new thing. Why not say "rains might irrigate fields". It's a nonsense trite statement.

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