"South American Wars - How Likely?" Topic
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|jefritrout ||12 Mar 2018 6:52 a.m. PST|
Don't think it will be Brazil v Argentina.
If it occurs it will involve Venezuela in some way, whether a civil war or versus Columbia, or Guyana. If it is Guyana then I believe other countries will involve themselves as well.
| John the Greater ||12 Mar 2018 10:51 a.m. PST|
I agree with jefritrout. I would put the chances of one or more civil wars at 100%. But for Latin America that is not exactly going out on a limb. Venezuela is the prime candidate.
As for interstate wars, Argentina vs Chile would be my guess. By the way, that would be very cool to wargame.
|Mithmee ||12 Mar 2018 11:51 a.m. PST|
I agree the most likely war would be against Venezuela and Columbia.
But Brazil will have more pressing issues due to it rampant population growth.
|Sir Walter Rlyeh||13 Mar 2018 12:15 p.m. PST|
44 years is getting up to half a century. So likelihood of a major war on a big continent with a half a century window? Extremely high to probable.