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"5 Math/Stats Things Every Wargamer Should Know" Topic


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297 hits since 23 Mar 2018
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Comments or corrections?

Florida Tory23 Mar 2018 4:40 a.m. PST

The statements

"difference between average and median"

is nonsensical.

The median is one fo the more common statistics that can be used to express central tendency, hence it is an average. I would guess the suggester for this one meant something like "difference between the arithmetic mean and the median".

Rick

robert piepenbrink Supporting Member of TMP23 Mar 2018 8:47 a.m. PST

I have no wish to play with or against someone who has to be taught percentages on a D10.

But overall, can't we just say "a little basic probability theory" and have done? The number of wargamers who think rolling more dice makes the outcome more random and who still think they're qualified to judge--or write!--rules is downright depressing.

Personal logo Mserafin Supporting Member of TMP23 Mar 2018 10:01 a.m. PST

I think a lot of gamers would benefit from an understanding of the concept of "Independence of events" – the results of previous die rolls do not affect the results of your next one. To believe so is called "The Gambler's Fallacy." An example of this would be my parents expecting me to be a girl because their previous two children had been boys – they thought they were "due for a girl."

Or maybe I just didn't get the memo…

Cerdic23 Mar 2018 1:13 p.m. PST

I didn't even understand half the options…

GildasFacit Sponsoring Member of TMP24 Mar 2018 9:48 a.m. PST

I'm with Rick – load of rubbish, most of the options make no sense.

Add to that the simple fact that, how ever much you explain simple probability to many gamers, they don't want to believe it. Most real events are WAY past simple probability anyway, dice are never more than a crude modelling tool.

genew4927 Mar 2018 5:41 p.m. PST

Base 8 is the same as base 10, if your missing two fingers.

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