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"crunchy and soggy and why our weapons don't work" Topic


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doc mcb08 Aug 2024 10:43 a.m. PST

link

Our Crisis of Institutional Competence
Why things don't work anymore.

Glenn Harlan Reynolds

A famous essay by Nico Colchester divided approaches into "Crunchy" and "Soggy." When things are crunchy, you know how you're doing:

Crunchy systems are those in which small changes have big effects leaving those affected by them in no doubt whether they are up or down, rich or broke, winning or losing, dead or alive. The going was crunchy for Captain Scott as he plodded southwards across the sastrugi. He was either on top of the snow-crust and smiling, or floundering thigh-deep. The farther south he marched the crunchier his predicament became. Sogginess is comfortable uncertainty. The modern Scott is unsure how deeply he is in it. He can radio for an airlift, or drop in on an American early-warning station for a hot toddy. The richer a society becomes, the soggier its systems get.

Systems are soggy when nobody's life is obviously affected by failure. Any system involving civil service employees or contractors on cost-plus contracts is likely to be soggy. As long as Elon Musk is at the helm, SpaceX will be crunchy, though given time it's likely to tend toward sogginess, as most institutions do.

Colchester concludes: "A crunchy policy is not necessarily right, only more certain than a soggy one to deliver the results that it deserves."

doc mcb08 Aug 2024 11:36 a.m. PST

"Too big to fail" works until suddenly it doesn't and everything fails together.

Old Glory Sponsoring Member of TMP08 Aug 2024 12:36 p.m. PST

Ocean gate sub was definitely -- "crunchy and soggy."
Russ Dunaway

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP08 Aug 2024 7:58 p.m. PST

National Security has to be a priority. That costs $ … lots of it … The gov't wastes a lot of money on things that does 0 to prepare for the next war. And if we have learned anything from our past. There will be another conflict with someone. Being ready for the upcoming future battles has to be one of the big lessons …

The world is still a very dangerous place. With those that still want to do the US/West harm. We all know the list … it is all the usual suspects…

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