Tango01 | 05 Sep 2019 1:02 p.m. PST |
… is Coming "Tehran increases pressure on European signatories to the historic 2015 nuclear pact before weekend deadline. Iranian officials ratcheted up pressure before a weekend deadline for European nations to come up with a solution for Iran to sell its oil abroad after the United States withdrew from a 2015 nuclear deal and reimposed devastating sanctions. President Hassan Rouhani threatened on Wednesday to take additional steps and accelerate its nuclear activities if Europe fails to provide a solution by Friday…" Main page link Because… " Iran to develop centrifuges for faster uranium enrichment" link Amicalement Armand
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Col Durnford | 05 Sep 2019 1:37 p.m. PST |
So the next time they have a rocket blow up on the launch pad it will be a much bigger and more impressive explosion? |
Lion in the Stars | 05 Sep 2019 3:42 p.m. PST |
Only if someone rigged the warhead deliberately. Nukes are almost impossible to accidentally go KABOOM, after all. It'd be a much messier-to-clean-up explosion, of the type usually known as a dirty bomb. |
Thresher01 | 05 Sep 2019 6:10 p.m. PST |
Hmmmm, makes me wonder if there will be simultaneous, "accidental" explosions, all over, which take out their ballistic missiles, nuke weapons development and refining sites, and their leadership too? I'm sure if so, it will be purely "coincidental". |
Andrew Walters | 06 Sep 2019 9:05 a.m. PST |
I'm not sure what this means, but I do remember a few things… The Iranians make meaningless military announcements from time to time. The Israelis know as much about the Iranian nuclear program as anyone does. The Israelis probably won't let Iran develop nuclear weapons. So it wouldn't be unreasonable to suppose that the first announcement that Iran has developed nuclear weapons will take the form of a report of an Israeli airstrike. Or mysterious malware that disables essential equipment. Or maybe something new, that would be interesting. |
Lion in the Stars | 06 Sep 2019 1:09 p.m. PST |
The Israelis have a very long flight to get to Iran. They could hit that Iraqi nuclear plant because it's 'only' 1600km' one way (and even then the planes landed with fumes in the tanks). It's more than three times that far to the Iranian nuclear plants. |
Andrew Walters | 06 Sep 2019 2:11 p.m. PST |
The Israelis have many times pulled off stuff no one thought they could. They may perceive their survival rests on preventing Iran from acquiring a functional nuclear arsenal. So we may get a big surprise, that's all I'm saying. link |
Thresher01 | 06 Sep 2019 5:34 p.m. PST |
Their Saudi allies in this have a lot of aerial tankers, and numerous airbases. |
Andrew Walters | 06 Sep 2019 7:07 p.m. PST |
Saudi Arabia is certainly motivated to help Israel, and probably would. Actually air-to-air refueling feels unlikely, since the air crews wouldn't be rehearsed to each others' procedures and it would be tough to keep it a secret. An unmarked plane stopping at an airbase to refuel is not hard to imagine, though. You have reliable people who are going to refuel it without asking questions and the pilot never gets out of the aircraft. Makes sense. |