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"WW2 WHAT IF: A 1943 Japanese Invasion Of Australia?" Topic


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©1994-2024 Bill Armintrout
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Mark 1 Supporting Member of TMP06 Apr 2018 11:34 a.m. PST

Could be a bit of a long frontage to cover with a couple of divisions?

Meanwhile their already inadequate Merchant fleet disappears to subs off the coast of Australia.

Yep. Quite agree. It was entirely untenable to the Japanese to conduct a ground war against the allies on Australian territory.

Even holding anything they managed to grab would have been an unachievable goal.

There were secret plans to cede half the continent to the invaders and let the country defeat them. This would have been an extremely unpopular decision, but you can appreciate the logic.

From a military perspective that was the right plan. It was logical, rational, reasonable.

But from a political perspective it was probably not a realistic plan. Japanese troops on the Australian landmass would probably have been intolerable. Of course I do not have any first-hand appreciation for the spirit of the Australian citizenry, now or in 1942.

But the Japanese actions in the Aleutians give a useful comparison. The likelihood of a Japanese garrison doing anything useful on Attu or Kiska was about 2 degrees Kelvan (really close to absolute zero). Providing enough supplies just to sustain such a garrison, much less to support defending it and using it as a base for further actions, was
just not in the cards.

But … it was intolerable. It could not be left to wither, it had to be attacked until it was defeated or withdrawn.

Any chess player can appreciate the construct of a plan that uses a bold move, whether genuine threat or only a symbolic affront, to bait the opposition into moving in ways you have predicted and prepared for.

-Mark
(aka: Mk 1)

Lee49406 Apr 2018 9:53 p.m. PST

One of the secrets to successfully conjuring up What If Scenarios is postulating situations that were even remotely possible … invading Australia would have required a Jap Strategic Victory at Pearl Harbor ie they took out the US carriers, machine shops, dry docks, and oil tank farms driving the US fleet back to the west coast. Barring that an invasion of Australia never happens. Lee

Cacique Caribe11 Apr 2018 1:16 a.m. PST

Guys

Check out this map. What a difference a few generations make!

Dan
link

TMP link

Cacique Caribe20 May 2018 7:00 p.m. PST

By the way … these are the cleanest versions I could find for these 2 Australian posters ("He's Coming South"):

link
link

Enjoy

Dan

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