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"There Is No Military Path to Victory in Afghanistan" Topic


33 Posts

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Tango0113 Sep 2016 2:53 p.m. PST

"Few will say it, but the facts are indisputable: America's war in Afghanistan has failed. There comes a time when persisting in a lost cause amounts to foolishness, indeed irresponsibility. That time has arrived.

Washington's minimal goals were to vanquish the Taliban, root out Al Qaeda and build a stable, effective government whose army and police would eventually fight the Taliban independently and successfully while maintaining law and order across the land. These objectives have not been meet…"
Main page
link

Amicalement
Armand

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP13 Sep 2016 2:58 p.m. PST

A'stan is a lost cause. And much if not all of that rests on their shoulders. Let them fight it out to the death. Or the last man standing. And keep a lot of air and orbital assets to make sure they don't decide to get some Pak Nucs and use them on the West. Or any other lunatic plan the Taliban, AQ, Daesh, etc., etc., …

Great War Ace13 Sep 2016 4:11 p.m. PST

Why did I know this back in 2003? I knew it in my cells. The fighting, the religious bickering and feuding, are just too ancient. No Western intervention can change any of that. We don't understand their animosities. They make no sense to our side. So we can't engage our friends there in dialogue about democracy and entering the 21st century, etc. We get blank stares or outright scorn at our presumption. Once Bin Laden was chased out of Astan, we should have pulled everything but an adequate security force nearby to operate in OUR interests, period.

Personal logo miniMo Supporting Member of TMP13 Sep 2016 4:41 p.m. PST

I'm shocked, shocked.

Charlie 1213 Sep 2016 7:04 p.m. PST

Afghanistan is a mess. Always has been, always will be. At least until they decide to join the rest of the world in the 21st century.

Mako1113 Sep 2016 7:45 p.m. PST

For which side?

Seems to me the Taliban are on a roll, and unlike them, others aren't as committed to the cause.

mandt213 Sep 2016 9:27 p.m. PST

Seems to me the Taliban are on a roll, and unlike them, others aren't as committed to the cause.

True.

But ask yourself these questions.

What would military victory in Afghanistan look like to us?

How much money are you willing to pay for it?

How many American lives are you willing to sacrifice for it? Not just KIA, but disabled, widows, and children of the dead and disabled.

How many Afghan civilians are you willing to kill for it?

When was the last time we actually "won" one of these conflicts?

Personal logo piper909 Supporting Member of TMP13 Sep 2016 10:39 p.m. PST

Outside intervention in Afghanistan has never ended well (nor in many other places). Foreigners serve to unite natives against them to a degree, provide propaganda value for insurgents, distract from tackling internal reforms, and breed a dependency on the part of the collaborators and puppet governments who serve foreign interests there.

Pan Marek14 Sep 2016 5:54 a.m. PST

Americans always seem to forget our own War of Independence.

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP14 Sep 2016 8:22 a.m. PST

Afghanistan is a mess. Always has been, always will be. At least until they decide to join the rest of the world in the 21st century.
Bingo ! gold star

mandt2 13 Sep 2016 9:27 p.m. PST

Seems to me the Taliban are on a roll, and unlike them, others aren't as committed to the cause.

True.

But ask yourself these questions.

What would military victory in Afghanistan look like to us?

The islamists would still be running amok. The ANA/ANP can't "contain" or defeat, the Taliban, AQ and now Deash. Again to quote C12, "At least until they decide to join the rest of the world in the 21st century." And that is not going to happen anytime soon, if at all.

How much money are you willing to pay for it?
At list point – 0 … Too much has been "wasted" already …

How many American lives are you willing to sacrifice for it? Not just KIA, but disabled, widows, and children of the dead and disabled.
Again … at this point 0 … Too much has been lost already. With little to show for it … sadly …

How many Afghan civilians are you willing to kill for it?
Ask the Taliban, AQ and Daesh … they kill many, many more than the US. The figure I have heard quoted often was 97% of all moslems killed are by other molsems in these conflicts.

When was the last time we actually "won" one of these conflicts?
Yes, the entire paradigm of "victory"/wining seems to have little relevance in modern insurgent warfare. Especially when islamists are involved.

So basically I generally agree with what you are saying.

Americans always seem to forget our own War of Independence.
To a point, now the boot is on the other foot, so to speak. The US are now "the Redcoats" …

Fatman14 Sep 2016 9:00 a.m. PST

the words Victory and Afghanistan do not belong in the same sentence

Fatman

VVV reply14 Sep 2016 9:13 a.m. PST

We don't understand their animosities. They make no sense to our side.

Of course they do to some people – basically people who have studied and been in Afghanistan.

Let us not forget the Taliban were kicked out of Afghanistan for 5 years with local Afghans and US airpower. THen the West tried to create a unified country. A better model is a feudal kingdom with local barons, supervised by a central government.

To a point, now the boot is on the other foot, so to speak. The US are now "the Redcoats" …

A better analogy is to imagine your county invaded by wealthy, degenerate, cannibals, who despise you. That is how Westerners look, to Afghans.

Weasel14 Sep 2016 10:36 a.m. PST

If we don't understand the people we're supposed to be helping, how can we actually help them?

Mako1114 Sep 2016 10:46 a.m. PST

The answer is zero, for the above.

Sadly, we've failed to learn from military history, again and again.

When your enemies are allowed to sit back in "safe havens", in an adjoining country, relatively untouched, and to use that as a base of operations for attacks in the other one, it's virtually impossible to win.

Should have learned that after Korea and Vietnam.

Steve Wilcox14 Sep 2016 11:24 a.m. PST

When your enemies are allowed to sit back in "safe havens", in an adjoining country, relatively untouched, and to use that as a base of operations for attacks in the other one, it's virtually impossible to win.
Although the US is not an adjoining country like Pakistan, I would suspect some Afghans view the continental US in a similar way.

Porthos14 Sep 2016 11:48 a.m. PST

I wonder if anyone ever read about the wars of Alexander the Great. What now is called Afghanistan was one of the very few regions he could not defeat, and other opponents felt the same…

Hafen von Schlockenberg14 Sep 2016 12:45 p.m. PST

"Always has been". Nope:

youtu.be/fTHy4btmL38

Personal logo piper909 Supporting Member of TMP14 Sep 2016 12:52 p.m. PST

What's the great cynical, pragmatic line from "The Man Who would Be King"? "Let them go back to playing stick ball with one another's heads, and pissing on their neighbors."

Hafen von Schlockenberg14 Sep 2016 1:09 p.m. PST
Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP14 Sep 2016 3:44 p.m. PST

A better analogy is to imagine your county invaded by wealthy, degenerate, cannibals, who despise you. That is how Westerners look, to Afghans.
Hell … I thought Canada believed that about us ! huh?

Rod I Robertson14 Sep 2016 3:59 p.m. PST

Legion 4:

Americans are too fat, are too loaded with cholesterol and are rife with artificial hormones and antibiotics. Canadian cannibals prefer free-range humans like Icelanders and Syrian refugees. Lip smacking good!

Cheers and Bon Appetite!
Rod Red-meat Robertson

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP14 Sep 2016 4:52 p.m. PST

Who you call'n Fat, Pilgrim !!!? huh?

Steve Wilcox14 Sep 2016 5:18 p.m. PST

You're not fat, you're big-boned, Legion 4! :)

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP15 Sep 2016 7:07 a.m. PST

Well yeah … Like a Wooly Mammoth ! evil grin

Steve Wilcox15 Sep 2016 10:09 a.m. PST

grin

Tango0115 Sep 2016 10:51 a.m. PST

(smile)

Amicalement
Armand

VVV reply15 Sep 2016 2:19 p.m. PST

By most measures the United States has the most powerful military in the world, with the second largest active army and a navy that rules the waves.

Another less flattering set of measurements has now been published, suggesting that America's troops are larger than they once were.

Pentagon data obtained by the Military Times media group shows that almost 8 per cent of troops are overweight, up from 1.6 per cent in 2001.

The UK army may be getting ‘too fat to fight', failing basic fitness tests, with more than 22,000 overweight and at risk of serious health problems, according to recently released Ministry of Defence figures.

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP15 Sep 2016 8:11 p.m. PST

Hey !!!! I'm not in the Army anymore !!!! I can be fat … now !!!! huh? But … TMP link

VVV reply16 Sep 2016 7:50 a.m. PST

Yep it makes perfect sense, the population grows fatter, so will the armed forces.

Personal logo Legion 4 Supporting Member of TMP16 Sep 2016 8:06 a.m. PST

Another reason many in the world hate the USA. Many can't get enough food … While We all eat too much ! And even have diet dog food for are canines !!!!! huh?

Mithmee16 Sep 2016 12:12 p.m. PST

America's war in Afghanistan has failed.

Well when you do not fight to win you will lose.

Charlie 1216 Sep 2016 1:40 p.m. PST

Well when you do not fight to win you will lose.

Simplistic and naive.

Mithmee16 Sep 2016 11:13 p.m. PST

Which we have been doing since the 1960's.

Yes you do certain things you can end up winning the war.

Just look at:

2nd Boer War
Italians in Libya

There are many other instances.

War is not nice or clean.

Britain could have not done what they did in South Africa against the Boers and they would have been fighting for years.

Instead they got nasty and did things and shorting the War.

It was the same in Libya with the Italians.

You want to end a War make it so that your enemy does not want to fight anymore.

if you pussy foot around you will be fighting for longer than you need to and you will end up losing.

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