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"Excel Formula Help Pleaze..." Topic


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Personal logo Extra Crispy Sponsoring Member of TMP18 Aug 2015 7:48 p.m. PST

I want to see if I can populate a spreadsheet as follows without having to do it manually.

For a given number of D6, the chance for a given number of successes, where a success is a certain value or higher.

Example: 21 dice, 11 hits, 3+
What formula (if possible) translates to:
=Chance to roll 11 dice with a number of 3 or greater.

Can this be done with a forumla?

TNE230018 Aug 2015 8:10 p.m. PST

I think

number of successes
divided by
total number of outcomes
divided by
number of anticipated number of successes

your example
21 dice * number sides to hit / 21 dice * 6 sides / 11 hits
(21*4) / (21*6) / 11 = about 6%

JonFreitag18 Aug 2015 8:23 p.m. PST

Depends on how the problem is defined.

If you want EXACTLY 11 successes (success is 3+ or prob. of success 4/6) out of 21 dice on D6 then try,

=BINOMDIST(11,21,4/6, FALSE)

If, on the other hand, you want to know the probability of rolling 11 or more successes with a success on 3+ then try,

=1 – BINOMDIST(10,21,4/6,TRUE)

Personal logo Editor in Chief Bill The Editor of TMP Fezian18 Aug 2015 8:38 p.m. PST

I bow before the wisdom of the Excel gurus. grin

Personal logo Extra Crispy Sponsoring Member of TMP18 Aug 2015 9:12 p.m. PST

I actually want to calculate a whole table. Columns are # Dice Thrown. Rows are number of hits scored. Cells are chance of exactly that number of hits. I will try BINOMDIST and see if that is what I need.

EDIT Looks like that was exactly what I wanted, thanks!

vexillia19 Aug 2015 1:55 a.m. PST

Use anydice far easier and I think this what you wanted above – anydice.com/program/66b7.

--
Martin Stephenson
The Waving Flag | Twitter | eBay

Personal logo Extra Crispy Sponsoring Member of TMP19 Aug 2015 5:29 a.m. PST

I know about any dice. It requires you to do each column manually then enter them in Excel. My starting table is 20x25 so no go there!

RavenscraftCybernetics19 Aug 2015 6:22 a.m. PST

ugh, kids today want everything right now!
20x24? shouldnt take more than a week to fill in.

Personal logo Extra Crispy Sponsoring Member of TMP19 Aug 2015 9:25 a.m. PST

Clearly you have too much time on your hands.

Actually I'm doing 4 of them! I am replacing the buckets of dice in Flames of War with a chart using 2D6….

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