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"Venezuela: Could Guyana Be Maduro’s Falklands?" Topic


19 Posts

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Tango0116 Jul 2015 10:49 p.m. PST

"A long-running border dispute between Venezuela and the former British colony of Guyana has been intensifying for weeks, purportedly because of plans by U.S. oil company ExxonMobil to conduct oil exploration in an area known as the Essequibo region.

Since winning independence in 1830, Venezuela has laid claim to the Essequibo region, which makes up around two-thirds of Guyana's small territory. And on May 26, in response to what he claims would be an incursion by ExxonMobil, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announced a maritime defense zone comprising Essequibo and a vast portion of Guyana's territorial waters.

Tensions escalated further last week when Maduro recalled Venezuela's ambassador to Guyana…"
Full article here
link

Amicalement
Armand

Mako1117 Jul 2015 6:42 p.m. PST

Let's hope, assuming he loses big time.

Of course, I fail to see how you can run a country that can't even keep toilet paper in stock, especially when that country has a such a wealth of jungle to produce it from (I can be a little more sympathetic to desert countries with no trees not having it, since it's probably difficult to produce from sand).

TKindred Supporting Member of TMP17 Jul 2015 7:47 p.m. PST

Im also impressed with his inability to run Venezuela, especially since they are these United States 3rd largest importer of oil. Only Canada and Mexico export more oil to the USA than Venezuela.

Yet, as you say, he can't even keep toilet paper on the store's shelves. Maduro won't last long at this rate, not with his citizens so frustrated with him.

AND, it's especially hard to use your military to fight a border war when you're already using the bulk of them to keep your own countrymen in check.

anleiher17 Jul 2015 7:47 p.m. PST

Don't be so harsh, Mako. Maduro is producing plenty of toilet paper; it's just called Venezuelan currency.

Lion in the Stars17 Jul 2015 8:12 p.m. PST

anleiher for the win!

Tango0117 Jul 2015 9:45 p.m. PST

You boys… have no idea how is to live in South American countries…(smile).

It's the Post Apoc advanced life!.

Like in a laboratory experiment … they confuse you giving a few years of progress, improvements and rights … and then they hit it bluntly with the Latin American reality which is the hallmark of the deepest corruption.

If you insist… well… there is always the war option.!.

Not easy to live in here…

Amicalement
Armand

Mako1118 Jul 2015 2:40 a.m. PST

I suspect we may be joining you all too soon, Armand.

Tango0118 Jul 2015 11:15 a.m. PST

Hope not my friend! (smile)

Your "mentality" is different thanks of Gosh! (smile)

But … have to admit that in the recent years… the "distance" between both worlds is decreasing.

Amicalement
Armand

Supercilius Maximus20 Jul 2015 10:34 a.m. PST

The Guyanan President is ex-Sandhurst; Guyana is a Commonwealth country.

Venezuela beware.

cwlinsj20 Jul 2015 11:34 a.m. PST

No he isn't. While impressively educated scholasticslly and military, President David Granger did not attend Sandhurst. I believe he only attended courses at Mons and the School of Infantry in the UK. His formal military education was in Africa and the Americas.

Regardless, he appears to be a very capable leader, the only problem is that Guyana has a military composed of one single infantry battalion.

That's the perfect-sized combattant Venezuela govt. would elect to wage a war against in order to divert attention away from their failings.

Skarper20 Jul 2015 11:42 a.m. PST

I suspect the Maduro government will eschew force – not wanting to give the US hawks any excuse to overreact. Not that they'd feel they needed one. Certain elements in the US hate Venezuela with a vengeance. IMO Nothing will happen until after the elections in December – so much effort and money has been sunk into subverting it they will hope for a return.

tuscaloosa20 Jul 2015 1:14 p.m. PST

And over to Skarper for a pointless, vague and completely noncontributing post!

Bangorstu20 Jul 2015 1:46 p.m. PST

Guyana isn't exactly easy terrain for invasion, especially as there don't seem to be any major roads connecting the two countries.

Venezuela could invade Guyana and Freetown mightn't notice…

Guyana has two infantry battalions, including reserves.

In addition, Trinidad & Tobago have a further two well trained battalions close to, which I suspect the Venezuelans would have to at least screen.

Not much, but I'm guessing all are better trained than the Venezuleans.

Tango0126 Jul 2015 11:03 p.m. PST

Will Guyana's Border Dispute With Venezuela Lead To War?

"Guyana's territorial dispute with neighboring Venezuela represents a threat to its very survival, President David Granger warned Friday in Washington.

After a recent offshore oil find, the row between the two countries has escalated, with Venezuela laying claim to a huge swathe of Guyana's territory.

"Guyana at the moment is facing a challenge to its survival by a larger state," Granger told guests at the William Perry Center of Hemispheric Defense Studies…"
Full article here
link

picture

Amicalement
Armand

David in Coffs27 Jul 2015 4:43 a.m. PST

What is Brazil's position?

Tango0127 Jul 2015 10:14 a.m. PST

Well… Venezuela is fully member of the Mercosur… so the military agreements between our countries remain.

The question is… which country is going to act military against Venezuela if they invaded?… and how!…

Amicalement
Armand

Supercilius Maximus27 Jul 2015 2:25 p.m. PST

No he isn't. While impressively educated scholasticslly and military, President David Granger did not attend Sandhurst. I believe he only attended courses at Mons and the School of Infantry in the UK. His formal military education was in Africa and the Americas.

I did check before I posted and I believe that he attended after those institutions moved from Aldershot to Sandhurst.

Jemima Fawr27 Jul 2015 3:03 p.m. PST

"What is Brazil's position?"

Roughly a third of the way down, on the right hand side.

David in Coffs27 Jul 2015 3:42 p.m. PST

Nuka nuka….

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