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"Betting on the 2011 Revolutions" Topic


30 Posts

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Personal logo John the OFM Supporting Member of TMP22 Feb 2011 8:16 a.m. PST

It's time to set the over/under line on the revolutions to come in 2011.
I predict 2011 will be the new 1848. As opposed to 1848, there are many more nations in your geography book. No more Empires that have 12 "nations" within, for one thing.

I am setting the over/under line at [GREAT FANFARE notes GREAT FANFARE]… 10. By December 31, 2011.
We have already had the "legitiamte" governments of Tunisia and Egypt overthrown. By the time you get back from work and read this, Libya may be included.

Do you bet the over or the under?

manchesterreg22 Feb 2011 8:20 a.m. PST

I bet over,most of the middle east and southern Europe,along with most of Africa.

jpattern222 Feb 2011 8:30 a.m. PST

I'm going to bet over, too.

Sloppypainter22 Feb 2011 8:36 a.m. PST

Over. Kinda feels creepy just betting on something like this…

jpattern222 Feb 2011 8:40 a.m. PST

Well, I'm hoping for most of them to be (relatively) peaceful. I'm hoping that Libya is the exception.

Cpt Arexu22 Feb 2011 9:03 a.m. PST

Was I a Cold Warrior from a certain generation, I'd be busy pointing out how the Domino Theory seemed to be working as theorized… but not quite the way the Soviets nor the West thought it would.

I might have to look up Irregular's Riot figures and rules to do some '11 Revolution gaming.

vtsaogames22 Feb 2011 9:19 a.m. PST

In Italy to this day they call a major foul-up "a real 48".

Will Arabs in the future call it "a real 11"?

adub7422 Feb 2011 9:57 a.m. PST

If you really want to get interesting… How many of these new governments will at least be neutral to the west?

CPBelt22 Feb 2011 10:09 a.m. PST

This is going to end so badly for us. I go over.

jdpintex22 Feb 2011 10:11 a.m. PST

I'll going to bet the Under Line. Though I think it will probably be close.

jpattern222 Feb 2011 10:14 a.m. PST

How many of these new governments will at least be neutral to the west?
No, too Blue Fezzy for me.

John D Salt22 Feb 2011 10:34 a.m. PST

vtsaogames wrote:


In Italy to this day they call a major foul-up "a real 48".

Will Arabs in the future call it "a real 11"?

Not if they use the hejira calendar, it will be a 32.

Staying Gregorian, however, it seems to me that they could already describe a major foul-up as a '48, a '56 or a '67.

All the best,

John.

Personal logo Sigwald Supporting Member of TMP22 Feb 2011 10:39 a.m. PST

I bet the rest of North Africa & Wisconsin will go within the year

mad monkey 122 Feb 2011 10:45 a.m. PST

Over.

anleiher22 Feb 2011 10:59 a.m. PST

I'm betting the over.

vojvoda22 Feb 2011 11:32 a.m. PST

OVER for sure. Next comes the Islamic backlash. Anyone remeber Egypt circ 1954ish Gamal Abdel Nasser the so called great united leader of the greater Islamic world. My money is on more lead for the basement.
VR
James Mattes

therrisok22 Feb 2011 12:30 p.m. PST

Under for me although I wish it was going to be the over….

Sysiphus22 Feb 2011 12:36 p.m. PST

Under; there won't be many feelin' good towards the US, as we've backed oppression in favor of stability.

SgtPain22 Feb 2011 3:38 p.m. PST

Under, just barely 7 or 8 is my guess.

doug redshirt22 Feb 2011 5:24 p.m. PST

I just hope Ford hurries up and gets that plug in hybrid out real quick. I can make it to work and back on the charge.

Paddy O Dawes23 Feb 2011 4:49 a.m. PST

I have a nasty feeling it will be under.

It really IS a Domino Theory – people get the nerve to rise up inspired by others actions, like happened with our Victory in the Cold War.

if Libya keeps going the way it is, it will provide a strong reason for a lot of protestors to stay home. Once one of these hits the buffers I fear the whole process will stop.

We think Libya is getting nasty – can you IMAGINE what Syria would be like? I shudder to think.

Pat

Klebert L Hall23 Feb 2011 6:03 a.m. PST

Under.
I'll be surprised by more than 5.


No more Empires that have 12 "nations" within, for one thing.

The U.S. does, though our government is not "imperial" in form. Way more than 12, really – just count the casinos.
-Kle.

Klebert L Hall23 Feb 2011 6:05 a.m. PST

there won't be many feelin' good towards the US, as we've backed oppression in favor of stability.

Well, Egypt will be since the Army is now in charge and they might as well be Americans.

None of the others so far were enormously friendly before, I doubt they will shoot themselves in the foot by becoming enormously unfriendly.
-Kle.

Cincinnatus23 Feb 2011 3:05 p.m. PST

Under. I bet every country that feels even remotely threatened by this has already begun taking steps to make sure it doesn't happen to them.

Uesugi Kenshin Supporting Member of TMP24 Feb 2011 11:14 p.m. PST

Under by 1/2.

Mehoy Nehoy28 Feb 2011 8:21 a.m. PST

I'll pass on this new TMP low, thanks.

Cincinnatus01 Mar 2011 7:49 p.m. PST

Wow, if discussing how much the revolutionary fever will prevail throughout the world is beyond discussion, then what exactly do you talk about with your intelligent and worldly friends? Charlie Sheen and Lindsey Lohan?

Elohim02 Mar 2011 1:55 p.m. PST

Under, sadly.

capncarp05 Mar 2011 7:42 p.m. PST

Cincinnatus typed, on 01 Mar 2011 6:49 p.m. PST:

"Wow, if discussing how much the revolutionary fever will prevail throughout the world is beyond discussion, then what exactly do you talk about with your intelligent and worldly friends? Charlie Sheen and Lindsey Lohan?"

Shhhhh…we're going to hijack Al-Jazeera and loop the Charlie Sheen interview nonstop for 40 days and 40 nights.

Then we're going to do the same with Entertainment Tonight's coverage of Lindsay's antics for the last 5 years.

They will beg us piteously for terms by the 81st day.

That's when we wheel out the Pee Wee Herman tapes….

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