Hi, I'm a new member but old min player returning to the hobby. The Adm. Souchon vs Adm. Troubridge scenario is one of my fave what if's. Many forget some important details that historically would've influenced the possible engagement and I'd like to know if you applied any of them.
1. SMS Goeben had foul boilers. She was having trouble keeping 20 knots continuously and there were several breakdowns during the voyage. Goeben was in sad shape when she finally made Turkish waters. Plans were made in case Breslau had to tow her in. A die roll each turn for a breakdown if high speed is called for would be appropriate.
2. She had been long away from home ports. SMS Goeben was due to leave the Med in October 1914, to be replaced by SMS Moltke. These boilers and a foul hull also restricted absolute max speed to 22-24 of her possible 27+ knots.
3. Goeben is low on fuel, as the Italians had delayed her coaling. She can't afford to waste it in extravagant tactics. It is reasonable that the best Brit AC's could maneuver with her in a tactical situation. At 22-23 knots, Adm Troubridge has them.
4. Her gunnery was only so-so (compared to the German 2nd Scouting Squadron at Kiel as a whole). Her limited shell replenishment options kept practice to a minimum and they showed in the desultory shore bombardments earlier.
5. If the Brit AC's damage her, Goeben has to contend with Adm. Milne's 2 BC's, Indomitable and Indefatigable, who missed her at Messina by ~24 hours steaming distance. Goeben dropping below 15 knots would've been her ruin.
6. Breslau, by comparison, is in fine condition and one of the newest 4.1" LC's the German's had at the time. She carried (or can carry) 120 mines.
7. But Breslau has to contend with 8 Brit destroyers (5 elderly) armed with torpedoes and the shadowing LC, HMS Gloucester. The AC's have a total of 14 torpedo tubes. The Brits should use all of them. However, the Royal Navy had an unnatural fear of them coming the other way. ALWAYS turn away from a torpedo attack.
Another interesting scenario: Adm Milne blocking the Straights of Messina (Aug. 5-ish) with HMS Gloucester, Dublin, Indomitable and Indefatigable (and possibly Chatham). The narrow straights make an interesting situation and bases friendly to Adm Souchon are limited. The 2 RN BC's are also having boiler problems and can't stay with Goeben at this stage. If Goeben can make 24 kts max, the Brit BC's can only do 22. (Note: Goeben's boilers were in worse condition when she almost encountered Troubridge 400 miles east). But
with max armor on the RN side only 8", how painful will victory be?
Alternately, the HMS Indomitable, Indefatigable and Dublin passed Goeben on August 4th at 9:30 am in good weather, north of Tunisia, before the war is official.
Further, there are several very good scenario's against the Russian fleet later in the war.